Poyerekeza ndi mayiko akunja, msika wamafuta a ethanol ndi waukulu, ndipo pano umayendetsedwa ndi biomass ethanol. The malasha -to -ethanol akuyembekezeka kukhala lotsatira kiyi chitukuko malangizo a lotsatira malasha makampani mankhwala pambuyo malasha -kupanga mafuta, malasha -to -gasi, malasha -to -olefin, ndi malasha -to -ethylene glycol, ndi mwachindunji kupikisana. kwa biomass ethanol ndi mtengo wake wopindulitsa kwambiri.
Kore view
msika wamafuta a ethanol wakudziko langa uli ndi malo akulu, ndipo m'kupita kwanthawi, uli ndi matani pafupifupi 9.4 miliyoni osowa. Mafuta a ethanol amatha kupanga mafuta okwanira, nthawi yomweyo, kukana kuphulika kwabwino, ndipo kwakhala kulimbikitsidwa kwambiri padziko lonse lapansi. Mu 2016, kupanga mafuta a ethanol m'dziko langa kunali matani 2.6 miliyoni okha, poyerekeza ndi matani 42.66 miliyoni a United States ndi matani 17.44 miliyoni ku Brazil, omwe anali ndi malo akuluakulu a chitukuko. Pakati pa nthawi, "13th Five-Year Plan" ya Energy Bureau inanena kuti pofika chaka cha 2020, dziko langa limatulutsa mafuta a ethanol anali matani 4 miliyoni, kuwonjezeka kwa 54% kuchokera pakukwera komweku. Ethanol amafuna kusiyana. Kuonjezera apo, mitengo ya ethanol yoitanitsa kunja ndi kukwezedwa kwa oyendetsa mafuta a ethanol idzakhala yabwino pakufunika kwamafuta amtundu wa ethanol.
Mtengo mwayi wa malasha mafuta Mowa n'zoonekeratu, ndi mtengo wa 300 yuan/tani kuti 800 yuan/tani kuposa mtengo wa glycotic Mowa. Awiri ndondomeko njira mafuta Mowa ziboda Mowa ndi malasha-to-ethanol, kuwerengetsa mtengo wa biomass Mowa pa 4700-5600 yuan (G1 m'badwo 4709 yuan/tani, G1.5 m'badwo 5275 yuan/tani, G2 m'badwo 5588 yuan/ tani); pamene malasha zopangidwa Mowa mtengo zambiri pakati 4000-4200 yuan (IFP kupanga mpweya mwachindunji hydrogen zotsitsimula 4071 yuan/tani, Portal mankhwala acetic asidi mwachindunji hydrogenation wa 4084 yuan/tani, anawonjezera haidrojeni asidi ester hydrogenation 4201 sing'anga yuan/ ukadaulo wosungunuka wa hydrogen acetate 4104 yuan/tani), ngakhale mutaganizira zinthu monga thandizo la ethanol chakudya ndi kuchepetsa msonkho wa mowa, malasha -ethanol akadali ndi phindu lalikulu la mtengo, ndi kusiyana kwa mtengo wa pafupifupi 300 yuan/tani. Kuchuluka kumatha kufika pafupifupi 800 yuan / tani.
Mathandizo a biomantic ethanol atsika, ndipo ethanol yopangidwa ndi malasha ikuyembekezeka kubwera ndi mwayi wamtengo wapatali. M'tsogolomu, biomass ethanol ikhoza kukumana ndi zoopsa zotsatirazi: (1) Ndalama zothandizira ndalama zakhala zikucheperachepera, ndipo chithandizo cha ethanol cha tirigu chatsika kuchokera ku 1883 yuan / tani mu 2005 mpaka 2016 popanda thandizo, ndipo phindu likhoza kuwonongeka; (2) Agricultural supply -side reform driver Pa kulima chimanga, mtengo wa chimanga udzakweza mtengo wa ethanol wa chimanga ngati pansi pa chimanga chatsitsidwa. Mosiyana, malasha --ethanol akadali ndi mpikisano mwayi ngakhale popanda thandizo. Kuonjezera apo, chiŵerengero cha mphamvu zopangira mafuta a ethanol ndi malasha opangidwa ndi malasha m'tsogolomu ndi za 3: 1. Timaweruza kuti mpikisano pakati pa makampani a malasha-to-ethanol sudzakhala woopsa kwambiri, ndipo ukuyembekezeka kulowetsamo ethanol yaikulu. ndi phindu la mtengo.
Nthawi yotumiza: Mar-15-2023